Perubahan Penggunaan Lahan Di Provinsi Lampung Dan Pengaruhnya Terhadap Insidensi Demam Berdarah Dengue (DBD)

Abstract

The conversion of forest area into non-forest area generally can causing the ecology and micro climate change especially rainfall. The impact of these changes in other side can increasing the probability in occurrence of vector-born disease such as Aedes aegypti mosquito couse of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF). Besides of environmental factors, poverty level, rainfall, and housing conditions the suspected also affect the incidence of dengue. This research aimed to determine of changes in forest cover and land, poverty level, and housing conditions as well as the impact to the incidence of dengue fever in Lampung. Data collected included primary data of land use changes of Lampung Province and the secondary data such as the data of precipitation rapid, poverty level, healthy  house proportion and Incidence Rate of dengue. The dynamic of changes in forest cover and land per distric/city identified through by Landsat image interpretation 5, 7 and 8 in 2002, 2009 and 2014. While the impact on DHF analyzed using multiple linear models. The results showed that there was a significant relationship between the changes of the people forest cover -1.2634 (p=0.001), intensive agricultural 0.5315 (p=0.016), the number of precipitation rapid 0.06869 (p=0.087) and the poverty level -0,2213 (p=0,038) and urbanism region in the towns and villages 28.75 (p=0.010) toward the incidence of dengue in Lampung from the year 2003 to 2014. Based on the reseacrh result that the goverment should be able to increase the percentage of forest area cause able to decrease the incidence DHF.

Keywords: forest conversion, incidence DHF, land use changes