Pengaruh Perubahan Lahan, Tingkat Kemiskinan Dan Pendapatan Beberapa Sektor Perekonomian Terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia : Studi Di Provinsi Lampung

Abstract

In each region that are transitioning from an agricultural economic activity to industrial economic activity has always faced deforestation or forest cover changes in Lampung Province. Changes in forest cover can affect the value of the Human Development Index(HDI). One of the cause of forest decline is a result of poverty sourced by low access to land resources. Furthermore, revenue in the sectors of the economy if hypothesized was also influenced by changes in the value of the HDI. This study aims to determine the impact of changes in forest cover and land, poverty, and income in the economic sectors of the IPM. This study was conducted in September 2015-January 2016, which consists of laboratory activity, namely the determination of land cover change in 2002, 2009, and 2013 through processing of satellite imagery data and then continued with field checks. Data of the poverty, income in the economic sectors and IPM obtained through the acquisition of data from the BPS. Multiple linear regression modelling applied to the response variable HDI with explanatory variables such as changes in forest cover and human welfare indicators. Optimization parameters used Minitab 11. The conclusions of the results of the regression modelling showed that the proportion of state forests (p value = 0.037), community forests (p value =0.009), fields (p value = 0.040), open land (p value = 0.307), poverty (p value = 0.595), disadvantaged families (p value = 0.034)and economic growth (p value =0.146) could decrease the performance of HDI next two years. While the land up (p value = 0.675), GDP in the transport sector (p value = 0.002), communications (p value = 0.071), services sector (p value = 0.067)and in others (p value = 0.066)can markedly increase the number IPM in Lampung province.

Keywords: Forest cover, HDI, Poverty, Sector of Economy.